Black Friday
Waking up in my car parked inside an outlet around 3:00 a.m. EST, I find Walmart has given a little clues on how it did on Thanksgiving. The company says it sold "tens of millions of TVs, video game consoles, movies, toys and turkeys." If you haven't already bought a few shares in Activision Blizzard (ATVI) , might want to today -- it will be a videogame holiday season thanks to new consoles from Nintendo (NTDOY) and Microsoft. Walmart's comments on strong gaming console sales would have me concerned on how GameStop's (GME) season has kicked off.
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Thanksgiving Day
The Graveyard Shift
Headed off to take a nap in my car around midnight because the malls were dead! Make no mistake, people stayed home on Thanksgiving Day and shopped online. How Black Friday sales turn out will be very interesting. Some thoughts from various store visits.
Target (TGT) stores were pretty quiet once the early lines trickled out of the store.
The effect of shopping on the iPhone X #BlackFriday#Emptypic.twitter.com/2VsDae3e8G
— Brian Sozzi (@BrianSozzi) November 24, 2017
The two Sears stores I visited were a joke. Minimal shoppers. It's going to be a brutal holiday season for the company.
Sears on #BlackFriday -- why bother? https://t.co/AIby2Ey1N9
— Brian Sozzi (@BrianSozzi) November 24, 2017
Shout out to McDonald's (MCD) CEO Steve Easterbrook. I have given the company a hard time for years, but continue to be impressed by how the food quality has improved this year. A couldn't have been happier with how my two artisan grilled chicken sandwiches turned out -- they were hot and tasty. Happy Thanksgiving to me!
McDonald's making my Thanksgiving Day dinner h/t @SteveEasterbrk#Workpic.twitter.com/XGH7ey4F8U
— Brian Sozzi (@BrianSozzi) November 24, 2017
Initial thought after trying the iPhone X for the first time inside of Best Buy (BBY) -- Apple is done innovating. Not blown away at all. Also wasn't blown away by Best Buy's store traffic (three stores visited).
First time with the iPhone X -- meh $AAPL#BlackFridaypic.twitter.com/ZfpEsJ0ctE
— Brian Sozzi (@BrianSozzi) November 23, 2017
Best store traffic, by far, on a Thanksgiving Day opening was Walmart. Stores were well-staffed and I have to think the company is off to a strong start. If you were looking for a sign the U.S. economy is in better shape this year vs. last, visits to Walmart stores on Thursday night offered that up. Baskets seemed fuller and people navigated toward higher price merchandise.
#BlackFriday begins. https://t.co/fl6mHh0qzN
— Brian Sozzi (@BrianSozzi) November 23, 2017
It's Game Time
It's 4:10 p.m. EST and it's almost game time as most of the major retailers get ready to open. Hit up two J.C. Penney stores after their earlier than last year opening at 2:00 p.m. (sort of absurd...see below Facebook (FB) Live). The crowds look similar to last year, with most people navigating to door-busters on small appliances, bedding and sweaters. If Newell Rubbermaid (NWL) didn't release terrible guidance a few weeks ago, yours truly would be giving a nod to the stock (they own small appliance king Jarden).
Managed to visit another Walmart store. The theme remains the same in that people may be staying home this year to shop online. Doorbuster deals in stores have been far from salivating as retailers attempt to pad profit margins -- they have to considering lower margin online sales are increasing.
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Spending Thanksgiving at JC Penney with 1500 of my closest friends �� $JCP#Blackfridaypic.twitter.com/cL98L70joT
— Brian Sozzi (@BrianSozzi) November 23, 2017
You are probably getting a coffee maker for Christmas -- small appliances selling very strongly early on #BlackFriday2017pic.twitter.com/a8WcXokhcP
— Brian Sozzi (@BrianSozzi) November 23, 2017
And the First Round of Sales Data Is In
This data from Abobe just hit my email inbox. And as I suspected, online sales are off to a strong start.
Thanksgiving Day has seen $360 million in online sales as of 10 a.m. EST, up 17.6% from the prior year. The average order value is slightly higher for this year's Pre-Thanksgiving Day at $137.
Computers are showing stronger discounts than last year says Adobe, with prices starting to drop significantly through Wednesday. Top toys include PJ Masks-branded items, Hatchimals, Colleggtibles, L.O.L. Surprise Dolls and Baby Alive. Apple (AAPL) AirPods and iPads, as well as Sony's (SNE) Playstation VR, are the most popular electronics. Specific to video games, Super Mario Odyssey comes out on top, along with the Nintendo Switch and Microsoft (MSFT) Xbox One X for consoles.
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More Stores, Same Theme
By 10:15 a.m. this much can be confirmed: Black Friday online sales figures will blow people away as they are reported. Crowds at several more Walmart and Kmart stores I visited were light. Most people were shopping for last minute Thanksgiving Day food. Even the traffic at Starbucks (SBUX) stores I ventured into (eight coffees consumed already...) felt absent the early seasonal pop of yesteryear.
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Sign times are tough @SearsHoldings -- Kmart #BlackFriday circulars printed in black and white on printer paper pic.twitter.com/JoROuknalS
— Brian Sozzi (@BrianSozzi) November 23, 2017
Hi @Kmart -- was going to buy these new couches for $200 but they are all messed up -- broken leg, banged up armrest #blackfridaypic.twitter.com/0TKYZYcW9I
— Brian Sozzi (@BrianSozzi) November 23, 2017
Crowds pack Kmart for #ThanksgivingDay opening $SHLDpic.twitter.com/XEpc9Hhc03
— Brian Sozzi (@BrianSozzi) November 23, 2017
Kmart calling out Amazon on prices ��cc: @JeffBezospic.twitter.com/LewFOAcmCX
— Brian Sozzi (@BrianSozzi) November 23, 2017
A Visit to Walmart
With one Walmart (WMT) store visit in the bag, not too much to report on the world's largest retailer just yet. I will say Walmart's toy section is nicely stocked and poised to gain the business of disappointed Kmart shoppers. And, to a lesser extent, shoppers at Toys 'R' Us who may see thinner shelves than normal following the chain's recent bankruptcy.
Check out our on-camera interview with Walmart CEO Doug McMillon.
Before the madness #BlackFriday$WMTpic.twitter.com/5GjbUHB4lj
— Brian Sozzi (@BrianSozzi) November 23, 2017
Thanksgiving Day shopping dedication $WMTpic.twitter.com/yB4ZUcoCRB
— Brian Sozzi (@BrianSozzi) November 23, 2017
Kmart Stores Look Silly Empty
Kmart is the first national chain to open its doors on Thanksgiving Day, doing so at 6:00 a.m. I got in two Kmart store visits by 7:00 a.m. and came away thinking execs should be terrified. Some of slowest traffic levels I have seen in ten years of visiting Kmart stores on Thanksgiving. The discounter's holiday promotions weren't that compelling, probably as the dying Sears (SHLD) tries to maximize profits.
Initial thought: J.C. Penney (JCP) , Macy's (M) and Walmart will crush Kmart into submission this holiday season.
Quietest Kmart Thanksgiving Day openings I have seen in some time #blackfridaypic.twitter.com/7DQ16Vn3c8
— Brian Sozzi (@BrianSozzi) November 23, 2017
Reporting live from busiest Kmart store in the world as it prepares for its last #BlackFriday ���� https://t.co/D1GHx3VrIU
— Brian Sozzi (@BrianSozzi) November 23, 2017
TheStreet's "Black Friday and Holiday Shopping Survival Guide" series aims to help you, the consumer and the investor, navigate the holiday season, Black Friday, Cyber Monday and everything in between. Through a number stories, videos, graphics and other multimedia elements TheStreet takes a look at the biggest challenges of the season, the winners and losers from the shifting retail environment and much more. Read More about navigating the holiday season.

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